Synthetic evidence narrative Brightpath Tutors · no customer data

Move the Target, Move the Team

How do alternative rules change cost, individual outcomes and the behaviour rewarded?

Current totalR186,400replay

Candidate totalR201,900replay

People higher9distribution

People lower5distribution

Median change+4.2%distribution

Behaviour responseUNKNOWNnot observed

Synthetic example. Deterministic fictional records; not transformed, aggregated or disguised customer data. Values demonstrate the method, not achieved results.

How to read this scene. Every fictional transaction receives a payout under the current rule.

Trivial baseline

Current fictional commission rule replayed over fixed historical transactions.

Sensitivity

Move thresholds, add adversarial transactions and remove one person at a time; behavioural response remains outside arithmetic replay.

Strongest counter-case

Fixed-behaviour replay cannot predict how people respond when incentives change.

Verdict

SURVIVES: arithmetic cost and distribution. UNTESTABLE: behavioural uplift before rollout.

Non-visual evidence mirror
Evidence	Value	Status / meaning
Current total	R186,400	replay
Candidate total	R201,900	replay
People higher	9	distribution
People lower	5	distribution
Median change	+4.2%	distribution
Behaviour response	UNKNOWN	not observed